Friday, May 28, 2010

Neutral Strategies


These options strategies can be great ways to invest or leverage existing positions for investors with a neutral market sentiment.

REVERSAL
Primarily used by floor traders, a reversal is an arbitrage strategy that allows traders to profit when options are underpriced. To put on a reversal, a trader would sell stock and use options to buy an equivalent position that offsets the short stock.

CONVERSION
Primarily used by floor traders, a conversion is an arbitrage strategy that allows traders to profit when options are overpriced. To put on a conversion, a trader would buy stock and use options to sell an equivalent position that offsets the long stock.

COLLAR
Bullish investors seeking a low-risk strategy to use in conjunction with a long stock position may want to try a Collar. In the example here, a collar is created by combining covered calls and protective puts.

BUTTERFLY
Ideal for investors who prefer limited risk, limited reward strategies. When investors expect stable prices, they can buy the butterfly by selling two options at the middle strike and buying one option at the higher and lower strikes. The options, which must be all calls or all puts, must also have the same expiration and underlying.

CONDOR
Ideal for investors who prefer limited risk, limited reward strategies. The condor takes the body of the butterfly - two options at the middle strike 0 and splits between two middle strikes. In this sense, the condor is basically a butterfly stretched over four strike prices instead of three.

LONG STRADDLE
For aggressive investors who expect short-term volatility yet have no bias up or down (i.e., a neutral bias), the long straddle is an excellent strategy. This position involves buying both a put and a call with the same strike price, expiration, and underlying.

SHORT STRADDLE
For aggressive investors who don't expect much short-term volatility, the short straddle can be a risky, but profitable strategy. This strategy involves selling a put and a call with the same strike price, expiration, and underlying.

LONG STRANGLE
For aggressive investors who expect short-term volatility yet have no bias up or down (i.e., a neutral bias), the long strangle is another excellent strategy. This strategy typically involves buying out-of-the-money calls and puts with the same strike price, expiration, and underlying.

SHORT STRANGLE
For aggressive investors who don't expect much short-term volatility, the short strangle can be a risky, but profitable strategy. This strategy typically involves selling out-of-the-money puts and calls with the same strike price, expiration, and underlying. The profit is limited to the credit received by selling options. The potential loss is unlimited as the market moves up or down.

PUT RATIO SPREAD
For aggressive investors who don't expect much short-term volatility, ratio spreads are a limited reward, unlimited risk strategy. Put ratio spreads, which involve buying puts at a higher strike and selling a greater number of puts at a lower strike, are neutral in the sense that they are hurt by market movement.

CALENDAR SPREAD
Calendar spreads are also known as time or horizontal spreads because they involve options with different expiration months. Because they are not exceptionally profitable on their own, calendar spreads are often used by traders who maintain large positions. Typically, a long calendar spread involves buying an option with a long-term expiration and selling an option with the same strike price and a short-term expiration.

Bearish Strategies

These options strategies can be great ways to invest or leverage existing positions for investors with a bearish market sentiment.

LONG PUT
For aggressive investors who have a strong feeling that a particular stock is about to move lower, long puts are an excellent low risk, high reward strategy. Rather than opening yourself to enormous risk of short selling stock, you could buy puts (the right to sell the stock).

NAKED CALL
Selling naked calls is a very risky strategy which should be utilized with extreme caution. By selling calls without owning the underlying stock, you collect the option premium and hope the stock either stays steady or declines in value. If the stock increases in value this strategy has unlimited risk.

PUT BACK SPREAD
For aggressive investors who expect big downward moves in already volatile stocks, backspreads are great strategies. The trade itself involves selling a put at a higher strike and buying a greater number of puts at a lower strike price.

BEAR CALL SPREAD
For investors who maintain a generally negative feeling about a stock, bear spreads are a nice low risk, low reward strategies. This trade involves selling a lower strike call, usually at or near the current stock price, and buying a higher strike, out-of-the-money call.

BEAR PUT SPREAD
For investors who maintain a generally negative feeling about a stock, bear spreads are another nice low risk, low reward strategy. This trade involves buying a put at a higher strike and selling another put at a lower strike. Like bear call spreads, bear put spreads profit when the price of the underlying stock decreases.

Bullish Strategies

These options strategies can be great ways to invest or leverage existing positions for investors with a bullish market sentiment.

LONG CALL
For aggressive investors who are bullish about the short-term prospects for a stock, buying calls can be an excellent way to capture the upside potential with limited downside risk.

COVERED CALL
For conservative investors, selling calls against a long stock position can be an excellent way to generate income without assuming the risks associated with uncovered calls. In this case, investors would sell one call contract for each 100 shares of stock they own.

PROTECTIVE PUT
For investors who want to protect the stocks in their portfolio from falling prices, protective puts provide a relatively low-cost form of portfolio insurance. In this case, investors would purchase one put contract for each 100 shares of stock they own.

BULL CALL SPREAD
For bullish investors who want a nice low risk, limited return strategy without buying or selling the underlying stock, bull call spreads are a great alternative.

BULL PUT SPREAD
For bullish investors who want a nice low risk, limited return strategy, bull put spreads are another alternative. Like the bull call spread, the bull put spread involves buying and selling the same number of put options at different strike prices.

CALL BACK SPREAD
For bullish investors who expect big moves in already volatile stocks, call back spreads are a great limited risk, unlimited reward strategy. The trade itself involves selling a call (or calls) at a lower strike and buying a greater number of calls at a higher strike price.

NAKED PUT
For bullish investors who are interested in buying a stock at a price below the current market price, selling naked puts can be an excellent strategy. In this case, however, the risk is substantial because the writer of the option is obligated to purchase the stock at the strike price regardless of where the stock is trading.

Option Strategies

http://www.optionsxpress.com/free_education/strategies/bullish.aspx

Monday, May 10, 2010

Headwinds ahead

SPY has to move above 1171 and NASDAQ above 2405 and consolidate at that area for a while before things start getting rosy again...

Friday, May 7, 2010

When will the misery end part -2

Back in March 2009 we had posted http://indusglobal.blogspot.com/2009/03/when-will-misery-end.html

What is the situation after a year now...Nonfarm payrolls increased by 290,000 in April. The economy has lost 1.4 million jobs over the last year, and 7.8 million jobs since the recession started in December 2007. That puts the percent job loses at roughly 5.5%. The unemployment rate increased to 9.9 percent.

We will have to see at the end of this year what will be the total job gains? Broad Market is now at 1100 levels while it was around 700 at that time.

Where do we go from here?

The much expected correction has finally arrived. Whether you have been diligent enough to prepare for this is a different discussion altogether. We at IGIR had expected to move up in a mellowed way but the things that happened in later march till late April were sort of crazy. Since things were up unexpectedly we were also caught on the wrong side with some positions but we did not liquidate the positions in an anticipation of a move.

Now this move has been more jerky that we had thought it to be. These situations are very tricky and dangerous. The question is where do we go from here....

Most of May will be down and consolidation begins in June. By Mid June we should have found a new ground and then we can move back up from there. The fundamentals of the economy are all OK and we do not think this is the end of the road here. This was technically the last leg in the first wave that started in March of 2009. The ground level of this turmoil will decide the pivot for the next wave.

We expect to hold 106 as was pointed in the old post but 1014 is really the key level longer term. If that is broken then that is really bearish. After that 948 is the next stop which is a 50% pullback from 1222. 883 would be the nullification of the previous wave and 675 would take us back to the original step. We do not expect to break 1014 however at IGIR we firmly believe that markets can usually prove you wrong when you think you can predict them. 


Like all customers, Mr. Market is always right and he usually wants to tell you something....Preparing to listen is for your own benefit rather than his.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Playing Catch-up

Are all the new User Interface frameworks playing catch-up with iPhone and Android?

Seems like everyone is into the business of making an Mobile UI SDK these days. We have heard Nokia's new Qt, Samsung's Bada and a few others who have been around for a long time but failed to excite developers.

We believe that all these are trying to play a losers game now. Nokia being the behemoth in terms of phones out there may see some action in their framework but all others are doomed.